"MRI at 25: Growing or Graying?", (c)
Robert A. Bell, PhD, Imaging Economics, 3/07
A few days ago, someone told me that MRI
was now a mature modality and would soon take a backseat
to sexy newcomers like PET/CT. This prediction reminded me
of the tale about the US Patent Commissioner who, in 1899,
was reputed to have submitted his resignation to President
McKinley, claiming that everything had been invented.
Chalk this one up as another completely false urban
legend. Charles Duell did not offer his resignation and
even noted in his 1899 report to McKinley an increase of
3,000 patents over the previous year and 60 times the
number of patents issued in 1837.
In a similar vein, reports
of MRI’s transition to middle age appear to be, at best,
wildly premature. On average, one in nine Americans will
get an MRI examination this year. Since 1996, the modality
has grown at an average of 15% to 18% per year, depending
on your source of statistics, and recent trends may
support higher percentages.
But what about the Deficit Reduction Act of
2005 (DRA)? Will that cause a freeze in growth just like that experienced
by the market in the early 1990s because of concerns about the Clinton
health plan? To the contrary, the effect of the DRA should be an increase
in utilization. Diagnostic information is a commodity, and when the cost
of an examination is lowered, but information content remains the same (or
increases), usage increases. The DRA is projected to reduce MRI
reimbursement for federally funded patients by 25% to 40% depending on
type of examination. About one third of US health care costs are paid by
Medicare and Medicaid, and many private contracts are tied to Medicare
rates. Thus, a substantial increase in volume should result from this
price reduction at nonhospital sites.
But is there anything new out there for
MRI? For those who attended RSNA 2006, the answer is a most unambiguous
"yes." Consider just a few trends.
Take Me Higher
The era of low-field MRI appears to be
drawing to a close. The advent of 3T has demonstrated substantially better
head and body imaging, which, in turn, has generated even more pressure on
scan providers to improve examination quality per time unit. Price
reductions at 1.5T now make it economically unattractive to purchase
superconducting systems with less than this field strength. It should not
come as a surprise that most vendors no longer offer tubular systems lower
than 1.5T in the US market. Sales of open-sided units are a pale ghost of
the halcyon days in the mid-1990s when these designs represented as much
as 50% of the annual market. At the RSNA, it was hard to find any
references to Profile (0.2T) or Ovation (0.35T) from GE Healthcare,
Waukesha, Wis; Concerto (0.2T) or Magnetom C! (0.35T) from Siemens Medical
Solutions, Malvern, Pa; or Panorama 0.23T from Philips Medical Systems,
Andover, Mass.
Philips Medical did give substantial booth
space and sales emphasis to the Panorama 1T, its current top-of-the-line
open-sided MRI. Also supporting this trend, Hitachi Medical Systems
America, Twins-burg, Ohio, unveiled a work-in-progress—a high-field,
open-sided unit called Oasis. Although there was no disclosure of field
strength, images in the booth indicated approximately 1.2T based on the
fat-water chemical shift. Similar in design to Philips’ Panorama 1T, Oasis
appears to be a superconducting system on its side, with a weight
projected to be in the 30,000-pound range.
Toshiba America Medical Systems, Tustin,
Calif, was the latest company to announce a commercial 3T whole-body
system, joining GE Healthcare, Philips Medical, and Siemens Medical. Now,
approximately 700 whole-body 3T systems are installed in the United State,
the large majority of which are in standard clinical practices and not
research sites. I am informed that in the United States, 3T has been
outselling the entire open-sided market for some time.
Philips Medical made quite a splash
announcing a rampable 1.5/3T system. Its Achieva XR offers a variable
magnet that can be installed with 1.5T electronics but can be later ramped
to 3T if the owner desires. Because the company’s 1.5T and 3T magnets are
identical from the outside, such a transition would not require any
visible changes to the magnet. Of course, new electronics and coils would
have to accompany the change (as of yet undisclosed pricing), but this
option could help relieve the decision pressure for some buyers who are
undecided between 1.5T and 3T.
Throughput ... and Comfort
Many vendors recognize that speed without
examination compromise is the key to success. As a method to improve
patient throughput, GE Healthcare showed a set of breast imaging coils
permanently mounted on its Signa detachable table. It also demonstrated
the InSightec focused-ultrasound therapy unit mounted in a detachable
table. Such dedicated systems should provide improved efficiency for
breast scanning and MRI-guided therapy.
The Total Imaging Matrix (TIM) concept
announced by Siemens Medical a few years ago appears to be gaining
momentum. More vendors are offering combination coils to allow greater
anatomical coverage without patient reposition. Virtually all high-field
vendors also offer the ability to increase the number of independent data
channels to at least 16. We are approaching the time when patient setup
may not vary substantially for a range of examinations. With a blanket of
selectable coils above and below the patient and with a large number of
data channels, the operator can prepare the patient in a uniform way and
then choose the coils that will best match the imaging needs. What a
useful tool for increasing throughput.
Reducing patient anxiety through equipment
design is proceeding apace. The above-mentioned Philips Medical Panorama
1T and the Hitachi Medical Oasis appear to herald a new stage in
higher-performance open systems. These units continue to offer the
psychological advantages of open sides without as large a compromise in
reduced image quality or longer scan times that are often the consequence
of low fields. Equipment price and service costs are, as always,
fundamentally linked to financial success.
Some tubular units also have expanded
diameters and shorter bore length. Since 2004, the Siemens Medical 1.5T
Espree has offered a 70-cm bore size, the same internal width as that
found on most CT systems. The magnet is only 1.25 meters long, or less
than 50 inches. However, there are trade-offs. This shortened magnet
design does limit the field-of-view (FOV) down the bore direction to about
30 cm. However, at RSNA, the company announced a software upgrade, TIM CT,
that provides scanning and simultaneous table movement—sort of a "spiral
MRI." This allows larger FOVs without longer magnets. The advance is now
in clinical testing and will be available as an upgrade on all Siemens
Medical TIM units this summer.
Consider for a moment the changes in
technology required to provide such an innovation. First, the system must
have multiple array coils so signals are detected from that portion of the
patient in the magnet at any given time. Second, the system must have
multiple detection channels to interface with these coils. Third, the unit
has to automatically switch from one set of coils to the next as movement
takes place. Finally, the scan sequence must be fast enough to allow RF
excitation and signal reception before the tissue is shifted outside the
"sweet spot" of the magnet. This does not sound like a mature modality.
Competing Ideas
Is there anything on the horizon that might
sap portions of the MRI market? After all, advances in ultrasound have
been remarkable, and CT angiography (CTA) now produces some of the most
spectacular images of flow that have ever been made. Will these impact MRI
growth?
MRI’s low examination cost, noninvasive
character, ready availability, and broad acceptance have secured its place
in the diagnostic imaging world for at least the next 10 years. For proof,
try to imagine a world without MRI. Joint studies would have to be done by
arthroscopy at far higher cost and greater pain and risk to the patient.
Neurological examinations would be far less effective by CT or far more
expensive by PET/CT. Can you imagine trying to convince patients to have
contrast CTs of the spine as the only method for studies of the cord and
nerve roots? Although ultrasound and CTA have contributed mightily, they
largely do so in areas outside the purview of traditional MRI.
Indeed, it appears that MRI may be in a
position to garner significant new patient volume from CT. In 2007, it is
projected that about 75 million CT examinations will be done in the United
States, and about two thirds of these will be body examinations. For MRI,
body examinations constitute only about 5% of total volume (estimated to
be less than 2 million examinations in 2007). Studies have shown that MRI
is diagnostically as useful as CT in the body and patient motion is no
longer a technical problem. The remaining constraint to broader use of MRI
in the body is cost. As the DRA brings MRI costs down by a larger
percentage than CT costs, an increasing fraction of body CT is likely to
transition to MRI.
New Territory
Where else can MRI secure additional
patient volume? The following five areas may prove fruitful for MRI
studies in the next 5 years.
- Spectroscopy. 3T systems have shown that
their additional signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and greater dispersion
(ability to resolve and quantitate more metabolites) can markedly
enhance the quality and application of spectral analysis. It appears
absurd that the federal government does not reimburse for this highly
effective and very low-cost addition to MRI. The combination of
morphology by MRI and chemical characterization by magnetic resonance
spectroscopy is a natural marriage.
- BOLD and related techniques. Blood
oxygen level dependent (BOLD) studies allow MRI to detect real-time
metabolic activity without the use of radionuclides or other invasive
agents. I believe such methods can contribute information now available
via PET but do so at one tenth the cost and at virtually no risk to the
patient.
- Breast. MRI has a unique ability to
detect active cancer at an early stage when treatment is most effective.
Although mammography and ultrasound will continue as more prevalent
examinations, MRI can provide additional information that can extend
life.
- Radiation therapy planning and
evaluation. MRI now has virtually the same spatial accuracy as CT and
gives far better contrast for soft tissue. Further, it can detect
earlier changes in tissue due to radiation since it can sense
interstitial water and does not rely on tissue necrosis. For some
patients, MRI may provide a better method for planning their radiation
treatment and earlier evaluation of its effectiveness.
- Prostate. According to the American
Cancer Society, one in six men will be diagnosed with prostate cancer at
some time in his life. Ten-year survival rates exceed 90% if the cancer
is confined to the capsule, and a significant fraction of patients may
benefit more from "watchful waiting" than from surgical intervention or
other active therapy. MRI, combined with localized multichannel phased
array coils, may offer a convenient and low-cost method to track the
progress of disease in such patients.
As a clinical technique, MRI is now about
25 years old. I think it is more accurate to describe it as a Generation-X
member than as a rapidly graying Baby Boomer. Like most young adults in
their 20s, MRI is full of energy and looking for new heights to scale.
Stand back, world. I predict more changes to come.